Thursday, April 9, 2009

Interesting Contests and Predictions

There are a lot of interesting contests all over the country for the Indian Lok Sabha elections this year. Here are some of the contests, some predictions and reasons for the win:

GANDHINAGAR seat

Major Contestants: LK Advani (BJP) - incumbent, Suresh Patel (Congress), Mallika Sarabhai (Independent)

Election issues: Pride of electing potential future PM of India, great development story of development poster boy Modi,

PREDICTION: LK Advani by a landslide. Both Patel and Sarabhai will lose deposit.
CHANCE of Advani win: 100%

PUNE seat:

Contestants: Suresh Kalmadi (Cong)- incumbent, Anil Shirole (BJP-SS), Arun Bhatia (Indp), DS Kulkarni (BSP), Ranjit Shirole (MNS)

Election Issues: Development of the city, Traffic Congestion, Power supply, Water supply, Pollution.

PREDICTION: Anil Shirole by a wafer thin margin. DSK will lose deposit.
CHANCES of win: Anil Shirole (43%), Suresh Kalmadi (37%), Bhatia (6%), DS Kulkarni (0%)

PREDICTED FACTORS contributing to the win: Infighting between Congress and NCP, Signals that Pawar may join Third Front after elections, Complete and utter non-performance of Kalmadi as MP for many years, Greater than normal voter turn-out in Pune.

More interesting contests to follow.

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